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Jack B. Soll Home Page > Papers
 

Jack B. Soll
Associate Professor of Management

 

Selected Manuscripts in Preparation

Soll, J. B., Mannes, A. E., Payne, J. W. Outliers in groups: Most valuable but least heard.

Palley, A. B., & Soll, J. B. Eliciting and aggregating forecasts when information is shared.

Soll, J. B., Palley, A. B., Rader, C. A., Bang, M. Measuring influence in advice taking.

 

Articles and Chapters

Soll, J. B. and Milkman, K. L. & Payne, J. W., A User's Guide to Debiasing (forthcoming). Wiley-Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making.  G. Keren and G. Wu (Eds.).

Mannes, A. E., Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P.  (2014).  The wisdom of select crowds.  Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 107, 276-299. DOI

Soll, J. B., Keeney, R. L., & Larrick, R. P. (2013) Consumer misunderstanding of credit card use, payments, and debt: Causes and solutions. Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 32, 66-81. DOI

Larrick, R. P., Mannes, A. E., & Soll, J. B. (2012).  The social psychology of the wisdom of crowds.  In J. I. Krueger (Ed.), Frontiers of Social Psychology:  Social Psychology and Decision Making.  Philadelphia: Psychology Press.

See, K. E., Morrison, E. W., Rothman, N. B, & Soll, J. B. (2011). The detrimental effects of power on confidence, advice taking, and accuracy. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 116, 272-285. DOI

Soll, J. B., & Mannes, A. E. (2011).  Judgmental aggregation strategies depend on whether the self is involved.  International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 81-102. DOI

Feiler, D. C., & Soll, J. B. (2010).  A blind spot in driving decisions: How neglecting costs puts us in overdrive. Climatic Change, 98, 285-290. DOI

Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. (2009). Strategies for revising judgment: How (and how well) people use others’ opinions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 35, 780-805. DOI

Larrick, R. P., & Soll, J. B. (2008). The MPG illusion. Science, 320, 1593-1594. DOI. This website has additional information and access to a subscription-free version of this article.

Larrick, R. P., Burson, K. A., & Soll, J. B. (2007) Social comparison and confidence: When thinking you're better than average predicts overconfidence (and when it does not). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 102, 76-94. DOI

Larrick, R. P., & Soll, J. B.  (2006) Intuitions about combining opinions: Misappreciation of the averaging principle.  Management Science, 52, 111-127. DOI
Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., Juslin, P., & Winman, A. (2006). Subjective confidence and the sampling of knowledge.  In K. Fiedler & P. Juslin (Eds.). In the Beginning there is a Sample: Information Sampling as a Key to Understanding Adaptive Cognition (pp.153-182). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Soll, J. B. & Klayman, J. (2004).  Overconfidence in interval estimates. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 299-314. DOI
Soll, J. B.  (1999). Intuitive theories of information: Beliefs about the value of redundancy. Cognitive Psychology, 38, 317-346. DOI
Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., González-Vallejo, C., & Barlas, S. (1999). Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 79, 216-247. DOI
Soll, J. B. (1996). Determinants of overconfidence and miscalibration: The roles of random error and ecological structure. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 117-137. DOI
McKenzie, C. R. M. & Soll, J. B. (1996). Which reference class is evoked? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 19, 34-35. DOI

Heath, C. & Soll, J. B. (1996). Mental budgeting and consumer decisions. Journal of Consumer Research, 23, 40-52. JSTOR

 

Other Writing

Soll, J. B. & Larrick, R. P. (2010). You know more than you think. Scientific American Mind.