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Jack B. Soll Home Page > Papers
 

Jack B. Soll
Associate Professor of Management

 

Manuscripts in Preparation

Mannes, A. E., Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. The wisdom of small crowds.

Soll, J. B., Mannes, A. E., Payne, J. W. Outlier opinions in groups.

Soll, J. B., Milkman, K. L., & Payne, J. W. A user's guide to debiasing.

Rader, C. A., Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. Dependence and independence in advice taking.

Kay, M. B., & Soll, J. B., Losing versus Gaining Information: Implications for changes in confidence and accuracy.

Comerford, D. A., & Soll, J. B. Direct versus implied judgments of economic trends.

 

Published Articles and Chapters

Soll, J. B., Keeney, R. L., & Larrick, R. P. (2013) Consumer misunderstanding of credit card use, payments, and debt: Causes and solutions. Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 32, 66-81. DOI

Soll, J. B., Mannes, A. E., & Larrick, R. P. (2013). The “wisdom of crowds” effect.  In H. Pashler (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Mind. Sage Publications.

Larrick, R. P., Mannes, A. E., & Soll, J. B. (2012).  The social psychology of the wisdom of crowds.  In J. I. Krueger (Ed.), Frontiers of Social Psychology:  Social Psychology and Decision Making.  Philadelphia: Psychology Press.

See, K. E., Morrison, E. W., Rothman, N. B, & Soll, J. B. (2011). The detrimental effects of power on confidence, advice taking, and accuracy. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 116, 272-285. DOI

Soll, J. B., & Mannes, A. E. (2011).  Judgmental aggregation strategies depend on whether the self is involved.  International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 81-102. DOI

Feiler, D. C., & Soll, J. B. (2010).  A blind spot in driving decisions: How neglecting costs puts us in overdrive. Climatic Change, 98, 285-290. DOI

Soll, J. B., & Larrick, R. P. (2009). Strategies for revising judgment: How (and how well) people use others’ opinions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 35, 780-805. DOI

Larrick, R. P., & Soll, J. B. (2008). The MPG illusion. Science, 320, 1593-1594. DOI. This website has additional information and access to a subscription-free version of this article.

Larrick, R. P., Burson, K. A., & Soll, J. B. (2007) Social comparison and confidence: When thinking you're better than average predicts overconfidence (and when it does not). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 102, 76-94. DOI

Larrick, R. P., & Soll, J. B.  (2006) Intuitions about combining opinions: Misappreciation of the averaging principle.  Management Science, 52, 111-127. DOI
Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., Juslin, P., & Winman, A. (2006). Subjective confidence and the sampling of knowledge.  In K. Fiedler & P. Juslin (Eds.). In the Beginning there is a Sample: Information Sampling as a Key to Understanding Adaptive Cognition (pp.153-182). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Soll, J. B. & Klayman, J. (2004).  Overconfidence in interval estimates. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 299-314. DOI
Soll, J. B.  (1999). Intuitive theories of information: Beliefs about the value of redundancy. Cognitive Psychology, 38, 317-346. DOI
Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., González-Vallejo, C., & Barlas, S. (1999). Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 79, 216-247. DOI
Soll, J. B. (1996). Determinants of overconfidence and miscalibration: The roles of random error and ecological structure. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 117-137. DOI
McKenzie, C. R. M. & Soll, J. B. (1996). Which reference class is evoked? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 19, 34-35. DOI

Heath, C. & Soll, J. B. (1996). Mental budgeting and consumer decisions. Journal of Consumer Research, 23, 40-52. JSTOR

 

Other Writing

Soll, J. B. & Larrick, R. P. (2010). You know more than you think. Scientific American Mind.